Copyright © 2011 Daniel Kahneman

All rights reserved. The use of any part of this publication, reproduced, transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, or stored in a retrieval system without the prior written consent of the publisher—or in the case of photocopying or other reprographic copying, license from the Canadian Copyright Licensing agency—is an infringement of the copyright law.

Doubleday Canada and colophon are registered trademarks.

Library and Archives of Canada Cataloguing in Publication is available upon request.

Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following previously published material: “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” from Science, New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4157, copyright © 1974 by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. Reprinted by permission of Science. “Choices, Values, and Frames” from The American Psychologist, copyright © 1983 by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Reprinted by permission of the American Psychological Association.

Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following images: Image on this page courtesy of Paul Ekman Group, LLC. Image on this page from “Cues of Being Watched Enhance Cooperation in a Real-World Setting” by Melissa Bateson, Daniel Nettle, and Gilbert Roberts, Biology Letters (2006); reprinted by permission of Biology Letters. Image on this page from Mind Sights by Roger N. Shepard (New York: W.H. Freeman and Company, 1990); reprinted by permission of Henry Holt and Company. Image on this page from “Human Amygdala Responsivity to Masked Fearful Eye Whites” by Paul J. Whalen et al., Science 306 (2004). Reprinted by permission of Science.

eISBN: 978-0-385-67652-6

Cover design by Rodrigo Corral
Cover photograph by Mark Weiss/Getty Images

Published in Canada by Doubleday Canada, a division of Random House of Canada Limited

Visit Random House of Canada Limited’s website: www.randomhouse.ca

v3.1

  • Cover
  • Other Books by This Author
  • Title Page
  • Copyright
  • Dedication
  • Contents
  • Introduction
  • Part I: Two Systems
    • 1. The Characters of the Story
    • 2. Attention and Effort
    • 3. The Lazy Controller
    • 4. The Associative Machine
    • 5. Cognitive Ease
    • 6. Norms, Surprises, and Causes
    • 7. A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
    • 8. How Judgments Happen
    • 9. Answering an Easier Question
  • Part II: Heuristics and Biases
    • 10. The Law of Small Numbers
    • 11. Anchors
    • 12. The Science of Availability
    • 13. Availability, Emotion, and Risk
    • 14. Tom W’s Specialty
    • 15. Linda: Less is More
    • 16. Causes Trump Statistics
    • 17. Regression to the Mean
    • 18. Taming Intuitive Predictions
  • Part III: Overconfidence
    • 19. The Illusion of Understanding
    • 20. The Illusion of Validity
    • 21. Intuitions vs. Formulas
    • 22. Expert Intuition: When can we Trust It?
    • 23. The Outside View
    • 24. The Engine of Capitalism
  • Part IV: Choices
    • 25. Bernoulli’s Errors
    • 26. Prospect Theory
    • 27. The Endowment Effect
    • 28. Bad Events
    • 29. The Fourfold Pattern
    • 30. Rare Events
    • 31. Risk Policies
    • 32. Keeping Score
    • 33. Reversals
    • 34. Frames and Reality
  • Part V: Two Selves
    • 35. Two Selves
    • 36. Life as a Story
    • 37. Experienced Well-Being
    • 38. Thinking About Life
  • Conclusions
  • Appendix A: Judgment Under Uncertainty
  • Appendix B: Choices, Values, and Frames
  • Notes
  • Acknowledgments
Library TOC
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Thinking, Fast and Slow
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Thinking, Fast and Slow